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How a 6.95% mortgage rate changes DSCR

A 6.95% mortgage rate changes coverage even when rent and expenses stay put. Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed average was 6.95% as of September 17, 2026. On an illustrative $300,000 loan, that payment is much larger than a stated 3.00% comparison case, and coverage on the same net operating income falls from about 1.61 to about 1.03. The 6.95% figure is a conventional survey print, not a DSCR loan quote.

By RentalAnalytics Editorial Team · Published September 23, 2026

Key takeaways

  • Freddie Mac reported a 30-year fixed average of 6.95% and a 15-year fixed average of 6.26% as of September 17, 2026. The 30-year print was 6.76% the prior week and 6.26% a year earlier.[1]
  • FRED series MORTGAGE30US shows the same 6.95% observation dated 2026-09-17, and 6.76% dated 2026-09-10. It is the Freddie Mac survey family, not a separate investor-loan index.[2]
  • Freddie Mac limits that average to weekly conventional, single-family originations within conforming loan limits. Do not paste 6.95% in as a DSCR, portfolio, or hard-money quote.[1]
  • In the illustrative scenario below, annual NOI is $24,455. Annual principal and interest is $23,830 at 6.95% and $15,178 at a stated 3.00% rate. Coverage is about 1.03 versus about 1.61.
  • The live Cash Flow Analyzer itemizes NOI and principal-and-interest debt service from inputs you type. The live Cap Rate Calculator is the unlevered companion. Neither tool is a lender.

What did Freddie Mac report on September 17, 2026?

Freddie Mac's weekly note says: "The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.95% as of September 17, 2026, up from last week when it averaged 6.76%." A year earlier the 30-year average was 6.26%. The 15-year average was 6.26% that week, up from 6.09%.[1] This is education, not a rate lock or a loan approval.

FRED series MORTGAGE30US shows "2026-09-17: 6.95" and "2026-09-10: 6.76".[2] That is the same survey family, not a second index. Freddie Mac limits the average this way: "The criteria include weekly conventional, single-family originations with conforming loan limits as set by FHFA."[1]

A DSCR product can price above or below 6.95%. The ratio's definition is in the DSCR explainer for rental investors. This page only changes the payment.

What happens to coverage when NOI stays fixed?

Coverage here is annual NOI divided by annual principal and interest. The scenario is illustrative, not a metro average or a quote. Survey rates are labeled. Every other dollar is an assumption you can replace.

  • Price and loan. Price $400,000. Down payment 25%. Loan $300,000. Term 30 years.
  • Income. Rent $3,200 a month. Vacancy 7%. Effective gross income is $2,976 a month.
  • Operating costs. Tax $4,800 a year. Insurance $1,800 a year. Maintenance $150 a month. Management is 8% of effective gross income, or $238.08 a month.

Those costs are $938.08 a month. NOI is $2,037.92 a month, $24,455 a year. At 6.95% the payment on $300,000 is $1,985.84 a month, $23,830 a year.

Coverage is about 1.03. Cash left after principal and interest is about $52 a month. The cushion is thin because the payment moved up to the current survey rate.

The Cash Flow Analyzer uses that same fully amortizing formula and rounds displayed dollars, so the 6.95% payment shows as $1,986.

How does a 6.95% payment compare with a 3% case?

Income and expenses stay fixed. Only the rate on the same $300,000, 30-year loan changes. Annual NOI stays $24,455.

Rate caseMonthly P&IAnnual P&IDSCRMonthly cash flow
6.95%, 30-year PMMS as of Sept. 17, 2026$1,985.84$23,8301.03$52
6.26%, 30-year PMMS one year earlier$1,849.10$22,1891.10$189
3.00%, stated comparison, not a survey print$1,264.81$15,1781.61$773

The 6.26% row is the year-ago 30-year survey print on this assumed loan, not the 15-year product, which was also 6.26% that week.[1] The 3.00% row is a stated assumption. The Freddie Mac page checked for this article does not show a 3% observation, and the row is not a claim that older loans all closed at 3.00%.

Annual principal and interest rises by $8,652 from the 3.00% case to 6.95%. Coverage falls by about 0.58 on the same NOI. The step from last year's 6.26% print to 6.95% costs about $137 a month on this balance.

Why does a PITI test disagree with that ratio?

At 6.95%, monthly PITI is $2,535.84: principal and interest, plus $400 of tax and $150 of insurance. Annual PITI is about $30,430. NOI already excluded tax and insurance, so dividing $24,455 by $30,430 gives about 0.80 and counts those bills twice. Use a PITI denominator only when the lender's numerator has not already removed them.

The Cash Flow Analyzer puts tax and insurance in operating expenses, then subtracts principal and interest. The $52 cash-flow line already includes both. Do not subtract PITI again under that line.

What stays the same when only the rate changes?

Cap rate is NOI divided by price, about 6.11% on these assumptions, at every rate in the table. The loan does not enter that formula. A property can look fine on cap rate and tight on coverage at the same time. Use the live Cap Rate Calculator for the unlevered view and the live Cash Flow Analyzer for the payment. Preview tools are not part of this walkthrough.

How do I enter this scenario in the Cash Flow Analyzer?

Type these assumptions over the sample values in the Cash Flow Analyzer. The sample rate is not the Freddie Mac survey. The tool has no DSCR field and does not approve loans.

  1. Financing. Purchase price 400000. Down payment 25. Interest rate 6.95, or 3 for the comparison case. Term 30.
  2. Income. Monthly rent 3200. Vacancy 7.
  3. Expenses. Property tax 4800. Insurance 1800. Maintenance 150. Management fee 8.

Divide annual NOI by annual debt service for the ratio. The 6.95% principal-and-interest line displays as $1,986 because the page rounds to the nearest dollar. Replace the $3,200 rent with a lease or with comps you have. These expenses are audit assumptions, not a national operating statement.

Frequently asked questions

What mortgage rate should I use for a DSCR model in September 2026?

Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey put the 30-year fixed average at 6.95% as of September 17, 2026, and the 15-year average at 6.26%. That survey covers conventional conforming purchase applications. It is a public benchmark, not a DSCR product quote. Type your written loan quote into the model when you have one.

How does a 6.95% rate change DSCR versus a 3% payment?

In this article's illustrative case, a $300,000 30-year loan costs $1,985.84 a month at 6.95% and $1,264.81 a month at a stated 3.00% rate. Net operating income stays $24,455 a year. Coverage is about 1.03 at 6.95% and about 1.61 at 3.00%. The 3.00% rate is an assumption, not a current survey print.

Should DSCR use PITI or principal and interest?

Use annual principal and interest in the denominator. This example's net operating income already subtracts property taxes and insurance. Dividing that NOI by full PITI counts those bills twice and drops the illustrative ratio from about 1.03 to about 0.80 at 6.95%. The check you mail can still be PITI. Keep that cash test on its own line.

Does the Cash Flow Analyzer publish a DSCR loan rate?

No. The live Cash Flow Analyzer accepts the rate you type, along with price, down payment, term, rent, vacancy, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and a management fee. It itemizes net operating income and principal-and-interest debt service, then shows cash flow. It does not quote a lender, and the sample rate in the form is not the Freddie Mac survey.

Is the 1.03 DSCR in the example a market average?

No. It belongs only to the stated assumptions: a $400,000 price, a $300,000 loan, $3,200 monthly rent, 7% vacancy, $4,800 of taxes, $1,800 of insurance, $150 of monthly maintenance, and an 8% management fee. Change any input and the ratio changes. Do not treat 1.03 as a typical U.S. rental.


Sources

  1. Freddie Mac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey, U.S. weekly averages as of September 17, 2026 (30-year fixed 6.95%, 15-year fixed 6.26%) - https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms
  2. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, FRED series MORTGAGE30US, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average, observation 2026-09-17: 6.95 - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US

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